FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
448 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
...POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES TODAY AND THIS EVENING...
.UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN NEW
MEXICO TODAY WITHIN A DEEP PLUME OF MONSOON MOISTURE ENHANCING THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCATIONS WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED FROM
RECENT RAIN WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING FROM
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS. THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE
MONSOON MOISTURE SURGE MAY LINGER ACROSS NEW MEXICOS WESTERN AND
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU ON SUNDAY...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR MORE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
NMZ515-527>532-311900-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-100801T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
448 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...HARDING
COUNTY...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA AND
UNION COUNTY.
* THROUGH THIS EVENING
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOODING WILL INCREASE OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY BECOMING
MOST NUMEROUS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE AROUND 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT AN
HOUR.
* TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE SUDDEN WATER RISES AND THE POSSIBLE
OVERFLOW OF DITCHES...ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS. IN TOWN
STREETS...UNDERPASSES AND INTERSECTIONS MAY FLOOD. LOW LYING
AREAS AND ADJACENT STRUCTURES WILL ALSO BE PRONE TO FLASH
FLOODING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
&&
$$
44/52
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
354 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
...FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
.THE SUMMER MONSOON WILL KEEP ABUNDANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH EXPECTED NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND VERY SLOW STORM MOVEMENT...WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY OVER AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
COZ085-086-089-093>097-311800-
/O.EXB.KPUB.FF.A.0004.100731T1200Z-100801T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
INCLUDING...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...
LAS ANIMAS
354 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS EXPANDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY. IN SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...BENT COUNTY...CROWLEY COUNTY...EASTERN KIOWA
COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...OTERO COUNTY...PUEBLO
COUNTY AND KIOWA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES COLORADO SPRINGS AND
PUEBLO.
* THROUGH THIS EVENING
* ABUNDANT MONSOON MOISTURE AND SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL BRING
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING TO
THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
* UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVER PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA ON
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURATED SOILS WILL MAKE THESE AREAS
MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING FROM EVEN MODERATE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL. URBAN AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE WILL ALSO BE
PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE.
&&
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
644 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
COZ058>089-093>099-011245-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
644 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND ADJACENT PLAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SMALL HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE
MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS...BUT THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FROM
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING. MUD OR ROCK SLIDES WILL BE OF PARTICULAR CONCERN FOR
THE MOUNTAIN AREAS. URBAN AREAS AND AREAS WITH POOR RUNOFF WILL ALSO
BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING TODAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A PERSISTENT PATTERN WILL KEEP ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHERN
COLORADO THROUGH FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND
SPREAD INTO THE PLAINS WEST IF INTERSTATE 25 AND OVER THE PALMER
DIVIDE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND SLOW STORM
MOTIONS WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER LOCATIONS THAT HAVE SEEN HEAVY
RAINFALL FOR CONSECUTIVE DAYS. THERE IS LESS CERTAINTY IN
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE OVER THE PLAINS WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND LIGHTNING IN ADDITION TO
HEAVY RAINFALL.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO THROUGH THIS EVENING.
$$
44/88
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
NMZ501>540-011200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
549 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN NEW
MEXICO WITHIN A DEEP PLUME OF MONSOON MOISTURE ENHANCING THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING. IN
ADDITION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SUNDAY...THE MONSOON MOISTURE SURGE MAY LINGER OVER THE WESTERN AND
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAIN AMOUNTS AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ
OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.
$$
44
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
600 AM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-312100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
600 AM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.
.DAY ONE...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY
AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE. ANY STORMS THAT FORM SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT
THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT
THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
ANDRADE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
451 AM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-311700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
451 AM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... ALTHOUGH
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
NEAR AND NORTH OF THIS FRONT... WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCE IN NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA. ISOLATED STRONG STORMS PRODUCING STRONG WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE... BUT ATMOSPHERIC WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND WIND SHEAR
WILL BE LOW SO THE CHANCES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOW.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY AUG 1.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...40 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...10 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB TO 100 TO 105 ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MID-WEEK ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PERSISTENT AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES OVER 100 ARE EXPECTED NEXT
WEEK. WITH THE PERSISTENCE OF THIS HEAT... CAUTION SHOULD BE
EXERCISED WHEN PLANNING OUTDOOR WORK AND ACTIVITIES OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
317 AM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-010830-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
317 AM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010 /217 AM MDT SAT JUL 31 2010/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MORE ISOLATED STORMS
TO THE NORTH. HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS
BUT SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THESE STORMS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN KANSAS. LIGHTNING...SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...BUT IT IS
TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY WILL BE SEVERE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
&&
FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC
$$
WRIGHT