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Iso DryT |
Scattered DryT |
291 FNUS21 KWNS 101529 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0929 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z Elevated conditions are likely from northern New Jersey and far northeast Pennsylvania to southern New England late this morning into the afternoon before showers arrive as a warm front lifts northward through the Northeast. Locally elevated conditions are already developing in parts of Upstate New York and northeast Pennsylvania ahead of the increasing cloud cover and showers. While marginally elevated conditions are expected in a relatively narrow temporal window, the ongoing drought and record high fire danger in the region led to the issuance. ..Nauslar.. 11/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal today across the CONUS. A trough will traverse the Great Lakes region, with cooler and wetter conditions extending from the Upper Midwest into the Ohio River Valley and up to the Northeast. Cooler post-frontal conditions will extend across much of the Plains. Some briefly Elevated conditions are possible in the Northeast ahead of the approaching front, but wetting rainfall will be expected by the afternoon. Lingering dry conditions will be possible across southern California, but generally light winds will keep fire concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$
544 FNUS22 KWNS 101817 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... While strong and gusty winds are expected from eastern Kern County northward along/east of the southern Sierra, fuels remain a mitigating factor. The forecast remains on track, and please see the previous forecast for more details. ..Nauslar.. 11/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1219 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough will move inland across the western US on Monday, bringing enhanced westerly flow aloft across the Great Basin in addition to potential for rain/snow showers. An increase in southwesterly surface winds will overlap dry conditions across portions of southern Nevada. Though relative-humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent are likely with sustained winds 10-15 mph (gusting higher), fuels in the region are largely unreceptive to fire spread. This will preclude the need to include probabilities at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$
211 FNUS28 KWNS 102134 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0332 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z A progressive pattern will continue over the CONUS this week into next weekend. Multiple cold fronts will sweep over the Northeast and down the West Coast leading to potential fire weather concerns at times in portions of these regions. Areas in the Great Basin, Southwest, and southern/central High Plains will likely have stronger winds overlap lower RH, but fuels will remain a mitigating factor. ...Southern/Central California... Gusty northwest winds across portions of southern California will turn north-northeasterly early Day 3/Tuesday and continue into Day 4/Wednesday. Gusty offshore winds of 25-50 mph are expected Day 3/Tuesday morning but temperatures will be cooler with RH hovering around elevated thresholds. RH will decrease especially at mid/upper slopes below critical thresholds with poor RH overnight recovery Day 3/Tuesday evening into Day 4/Wednesday morning, but winds will be weaker. While the strongest offshore winds and lowest forecast RH are unlikely to overlap, elevated to locally critical conditions are possible starting early Day 3/Tuesday morning through Day 3/Tuesday night. Behind another cold front, gusty northerly to offshore winds are possible in southern California and the Central Valley/vicinity next weekend. Mid/upper slopes around the Bay Area, the foothills surrounding the Central Valley, and the Transverse Ranges of southern California are forecast to have gusty north-northeast winds with lowering RH on Day 7/Saturday - Day 8/Sunday. However, a fair amount of forecast uncertainty exists regarding the amount of preceding precipitation and strength of the northerly/offshore winds. ...Mid-Atlantic and Northeast... Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely across portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Day 4/Wednesday and again on Day 7/Saturday. Precipitation is likely across much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast associated with both frontal passages, but some areas are likely to receive little and possibly no precipitation in the next seven days. Given the record high fire danger, drier pockets will be monitored for including probabilities or outlook areas in subsequent issuances. ..Nauslar.. 11/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$