WEATHERTrackCAST
Your Online Weather Tracking Source
Tropical Center
Atlantic Active Tropical Systems
Map Legend
 2 Day Probability Outlook  
  30% or Less Chance  
  40%-60% Chance  
  70% or Greater Chance  
 2 Day Probability Outlook Area  
  30% or Less Chance   
  40%-60% Chance  
  70% or Greater Chance  

  Sustained
Wind > 110 mph
  Sustained
Wind 73 -110 mph
  Sustained
Wind 39-73 mph
  Sustained
Wind < 39 mph
  Sustained
Wind > 73 mph
  Hurricane Watch  
  Hurricane Warning  
  Tropical Storm Watch  
  Tropical Storm Warning  
  Forecast Track  
  Forecast Cone  
  Past Point  
  34 kts Wind Speed  
  50 kts Wind Speed  
  64 kts Wind Speed  
Active Storms

No active storms available

Additional Types


Storm Name
Start Date
(UTC)
End Date
(UTC)
Min Pressure
mb (inches)
Max Winds
mph
  Tropical Storm Alberto 2100 UTC Mon Jun 17 2024 2100 UTC Thu Jun 20 2024 993
(29.33)
50
  Hurricane Beryl 2100 UTC Fri Jun 28 2024 0300 UTC Thu Jul 11 2024 934
(27.58)
165
  Tropical Storm Chris 2100 UTC Sun Jun 30 2024 1500 UTC Mon Jul 1 2024 1005
(29.68)
40
  Hurricane Debby 1500 UTC Fri Aug 2 2024 0300 UTC Sat Aug 10 2024 979
(28.91)
80
  Hurricane Ernesto 2100 UTC Sun Aug 11 2024 1500 UTC Tue Aug 20 2024 968
(28.59)
100
  Hurricane Francine 2100 UTC Sun Sep 8 2024 0300 UTC Sat Sep 14 2024 972
(28.71)
100
  Tropical Storm Gordon 1500 UTC Wed Sep 11 2024 1500 UTC Tue Sep 17 2024 1004
(29.65)
45
  Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight 2100 UTC Sun Sep 15 2024 2100 UTC Mon Sep 16 2024 1005
(29.68)
50
  Hurricane Helene 1500 UTC Mon Sep 23 2024 1500 UTC Sat Sep 28 2024 938
(27.70)
140
  Hurricane Isaac 0300 UTC Thu Sep 26 2024 1400 UTC Mon Sep 30 2024 968
(28.59)
105
  Tropical Storm Joyce 1500 UTC Fri Sep 27 2024 0300 UTC Tue Oct 1 2024 1001
(29.56)
50
  Hurricane Kirk 2100 UTC Sun Sep 29 2024 1400 UTC Mon Oct 7 2024 934
(27.58)
145
  Hurricane Leslie 1500 UTC Wed Oct 2 2024 1400 UTC Sat Oct 12 2024 972
(28.71)
105
  Hurricane Milton 1500 UTC Sat Oct 5 2024 2100 UTC Thu Oct 10 2024 897
(26.49)
180
  Tropical Storm Nadine 2100 UTC Fri Oct 18 2024 1500 UTC Sun Oct 20 2024 1000
(29.53)
60
  Hurricane Oscar 1500 UTC Sat Oct 19 2024 1800 UTC Tue Oct 22 2024 986
(29.12)
85
  Tropical Storm Patty 0900 UTC Sat Nov 2 2024 1500 UTC Mon Nov 4 2024 982
(29.00)
65
  Hurricane Rafael 2100 UTC Sun Nov 3 2024 2100 UTC Sun Nov 10 2024 956
(28.23)
120
  Tropical Storm Sara 2100 UTC Wed Nov 13 2024 0900 UTC Mon Nov 18 2024 997
(29.44)
50

922
ABNT20 KNHC 302331
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Beven




	

		
533
AXNT20 KNHC 041806
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Dec 4 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Sierra Leone near to
07N12W to 04N19W. The ITCZ continues from 04N19W to 02N30W to
00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 09N between
11W and 17W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

As of 15Z, a stationary front extends from a 1019 mb low located
inland over Texas to near Tuxpan, Mexico. A warm front stretches
from the same low to near 27N89W. Then, a cold front crosses South
Florida and the SE Gulf to near 27N89W. Abundant cloudiness, with
embedded showers and patches of rain, dominates most of the
western Gulf N of 22N and W of 90W. High pressure of 1032 mb over
the southeastern United States extends a ridge across the
remainder of the Gulf waters and supports fresh NE winds across
the SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida and the Yucatan
Channel, with 5 to 8 ft seas, with the highest near the Yucatan
Channel. The pattern is also supporting fresh to strong SE to S
winds over the western Gulf, mainly N of 22N and west of 93W based
on scatterometer data. Seas are 7 to 10 ft within these winds.
Gentle to moderate winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, the cold front will dissipate over the Gulf later
today. High pressure building north of the front over the SE United
States will maintain fresh to strong SE winds over the western
Gulf into tonight, accompanied by rough seas and scattered showers
and thunderstorms. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will reach
the northern Gulf coast Thu, stall across the central Gulf by late
Fri before dissipating Sat. Broad high pressure and associated
ridging will build across the basin Thu night into the weekend,
thus supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds basin-wide Fri
night through Sun night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Recent scatterometer data along with buoy observations indicate
the presence of fresh to strong NE winds across the western
Caribbean, including the Windward Passage, where NE winds of 25
to 30 kt are noted. Fixed buoy data also indicates rough seas
across the western Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trade winds and
moderate to rough seas are evident elsewhere, except near the
coast of Colombia where fresh to strong winds are noted. Showers
and thunderstorms continue to flare-up over the SW Caribbean,
mainly over the offshore waters of Nicaragua.

For the forecast, the high pressure north of the region will
continue to support strong to near-gale NE winds and rough seas
over most of the northwest Caribbean and Windward Passage through
tonight, and fresh to strong winds pulsing off Colombia farther
south from tonight through Sun night. The high pressure will
weaken and shift eastward Thu, allowing winds and seas to briefly
diminish to mainly fresh speeds. NE swell will lead to seas of 8
to 10 ft for Atlantic waters E of the Leeward Islands into Thu.
Looking ahead, high pressure will build again north of the area
over the western Atlantic Thu night and prevail through the
weekend. This will resume fresh to strong NE to E winds across the
NW Caribbean Thu night, and in the Windward Passage and central
Caribbean from Sat night through Sun night. Moderate to rough seas
expected across these regions through Sun.


...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A series of cold fronts continue to move across the western Atlantic
while the remainder of the forecast area remains under the influence
of a strong 1034 mb high pressure located E of the Azores near
37N21W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower
pressure over NW Africa is promoting an area of fresh to strong NE
N of 22N and E of 23W, including the western Canary Islands.
Elsewhere E of 60W, this pattern is supporting mostly fresh NE to
E winds and seas in the 7 to 10 ft range. A cold front extends
from 31N55W to the N coast of Haiti. A pre-frontal trough runs
from 23N64W to Puerto Rico. Some shower activity is along the
frontal boundary. Farther west, another cold front stretches from
near Bermuda to South Florida. Fresh to strong N to NE winds are
occurring near the southern end of the first front, particularly
from 20N to 24N between 67W and 75W, including approaches to the
Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate to rough
seas are noted elsewhere ahead and behind the aforementioned cold
fronts.

For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts will merge and reach from
31N52W to north-central Hispaniola late today, then stall and
dissipate west off 55W through Thu. High pressure building in
behind the front will continue to support strong NE winds south of
24N, offshore Hispaniola and eastern Cuba through early Thu
morning. Looking ahead, the next cold front will move into the
waters off northeast Florida late Thu into Fri, bringing large NW
swell to the waters between northeast Florida and Bermuda north of
28N through Sun.

$$
GR