Tropical Center
Eastern Pacific - Tropical Storm Odalys
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30% or Less Chance
40%-60% Chance
70% or Greater Chance
Sustained Wind
> 110 mph
73 -110 mph
39-73 mph
< 39 mph
> 73 mph
Wind Speed
34 kts
50 kts
64 kts
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Latest Storm Track Information
Event Number
16
Advisory Number
7
Advisory Date
2100 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
Storm Strength
TS
Latitude
14.0000
Longitude
-130.0000
Movement
NW 8 mph
Pressure (mb)
1002 mb
Pressure (in)
29.59 in
Winds
50 mph
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#
Advisory Date
Name
Strength
Position
Movement
Pressure
Winds
Advisory #7
– 2100 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
#
7
Advisory Date
2100 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
Name
Tropical Storm Odalys
Strength
TS
Position
14.0N,
130.0W
Movement
NW
at 8 mph
Pressure
1002 mb
/ 29.59 in
Winds
50 mph
(46 kt)
Advisory #6
– 1500 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
#
6
Advisory Date
1500 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
Name
Tropical Storm Odalys
Strength
TS
Position
13.9N,
129.3W
Movement
NW
at 12 mph
Pressure
1003 mb
/ 29.62 in
Winds
45 mph
(40 kt)
Advisory #5
– 0900 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
#
5
Advisory Date
0900 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
Name
Tropical Storm Odalys
Strength
TS
Position
13.5N,
128.7W
Movement
NW
at 13 mph
Pressure
1004 mb
/ 29.65 in
Winds
45 mph
(40 kt)
Advisory #4
– 0300 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
#
4
Advisory Date
0300 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026
Name
Tropical Storm Odalys
Strength
TS
Position
13.1N,
127.7W
Movement
NW
at 13 mph
Pressure
1002 mb
/ 29.59 in
Winds
50 mph
(46 kt)
Advisory #3
– 2100 UTC Sun Sep 20 2026
#
3
Advisory Date
2100 UTC Sun Sep 20 2026
Name
Tropical Storm Odalys
Strength
TS
Position
11.7N,
126.6W
Movement
WNW
at 10 mph
Pressure
1002 mb
/ 29.59 in
Winds
50 mph
(46 kt)
Advisory #2
– 1500 UTC Sun Sep 20 2026
#
2
Advisory Date
1500 UTC Sun Sep 20 2026
Name
Tropical Storm Odalys
Strength
TS
Position
11.1N,
125.5W
Movement
WNW
at 9 mph
Pressure
1003 mb
/ 29.62 in
Winds
45 mph
(40 kt)
Advisory #1
– 0900 UTC Sun Sep 20 2026
#
1
Advisory Date
0900 UTC Sun Sep 20 2026
Name
Tropical Storm Odalys
Strength
TS
Position
11.4N,
124.5W
Movement
NW
at 8 mph
Pressure
1005 mb
/ 29.68 in
Winds
40 mph
(35 kt)
Tropical Cyclone Discussion
166
WTPZ41 KNHC 212046
TCDEP1
Tropical Storm Odalys Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162026
200 PM PDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Although the storm still has not become appreciably better organized
on either geostationary or microwave imagery, a recent ASCAT-C
overpass showed at least one believable wind vector of near 43 kt.
This, along with a Dvorak T-number from TAFB, supports increasing
the intensity slightly to 45 kt. Odalys continues to produce quite
a bit of deep convection, but the highest cloud tops are not as cold
as they were earlier today, likely a diurnal fluctuation.
The forward speed has slowed somewhat and the motion estimate is
around 310/7 kt. The track forecast reasoning is basically
unchanged from the previous couple of advisories. A mid- to
upper-level trough is forecast to move over the Baja California
peninsula during the next day or so. This should result in a sharp
eastward turn of Odalys tomorrow. The tropical cyclone should then
be steered east-northeastward to northeastward by the flow between
the trough and a mid-level ridge situated between Odalys and
Hurricane Polo. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the
previous one and lies near the HCCA and GDMI track guidance. Some
interaction between Odalys and Polo is possible near the end or
after the forecast period.
According to the most recent Decay-SHIPS input, the vertical wind
shear is likely to remain in the light to moderate range for the
next several days. This, along with a sufficiently warm ocean,
should allow Odalys to strengthen into a hurricane in 48 hours or
so. Somewhat drier air could result in some weakening late in the
forecast period. The official intensity forecast is in good
agreement with the HCCA corrected model consensus.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/2100Z 14.0N 130.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 22/0600Z 14.5N 130.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 22/1800Z 15.0N 129.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 23/0600Z 15.2N 128.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 23/1800Z 15.3N 127.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 24/0600Z 15.7N 125.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 24/1800Z 16.4N 124.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 25/1800Z 17.9N 122.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 26/1800Z 19.8N 120.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
$$
Forecaster Pasch
WTPZ41 KNHC 212046
TCDEP1
Tropical Storm Odalys Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162026
200 PM PDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Although the storm still has not become appreciably better organized
on either geostationary or microwave imagery, a recent ASCAT-C
overpass showed at least one believable wind vector of near 43 kt.
This, along with a Dvorak T-number from TAFB, supports increasing
the intensity slightly to 45 kt. Odalys continues to produce quite
a bit of deep convection, but the highest cloud tops are not as cold
as they were earlier today, likely a diurnal fluctuation.
The forward speed has slowed somewhat and the motion estimate is
around 310/7 kt. The track forecast reasoning is basically
unchanged from the previous couple of advisories. A mid- to
upper-level trough is forecast to move over the Baja California
peninsula during the next day or so. This should result in a sharp
eastward turn of Odalys tomorrow. The tropical cyclone should then
be steered east-northeastward to northeastward by the flow between
the trough and a mid-level ridge situated between Odalys and
Hurricane Polo. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the
previous one and lies near the HCCA and GDMI track guidance. Some
interaction between Odalys and Polo is possible near the end or
after the forecast period.
According to the most recent Decay-SHIPS input, the vertical wind
shear is likely to remain in the light to moderate range for the
next several days. This, along with a sufficiently warm ocean,
should allow Odalys to strengthen into a hurricane in 48 hours or
so. Somewhat drier air could result in some weakening late in the
forecast period. The official intensity forecast is in good
agreement with the HCCA corrected model consensus.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/2100Z 14.0N 130.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 22/0600Z 14.5N 130.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 22/1800Z 15.0N 129.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 23/0600Z 15.2N 128.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 23/1800Z 15.3N 127.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 24/0600Z 15.7N 125.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 24/1800Z 16.4N 124.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 25/1800Z 17.9N 122.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 26/1800Z 19.8N 120.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
$$
Forecaster Pasch